Now is a Good Time to Consider Buying an Off-Lease Car

Used car shopping just got a whole lot better, and most people haven’t noticed yet. New cars are averaging close to $49,000. Used cars sit around $25,600. That gap alone is reason enough to look at used, but right now there’s something extra going on that makes the timing even better.

Why there are suddenly so many more cars to choose from

Think back to 2022 and 2023. The government was handing out big tax credits to get people into electric cars. Automakers saw a chance to make leasing really cheap, so millions of people signed 3-year lease deals. Those leases are all coming due right now, at the same time. The result is a flood of nearly-new cars hitting dealer lots, about half a million more than last year, a 25% jump in off-lease inventory.

EVs are the biggest part of that wave. Over 300,000 electric vehicles are expected to come off lease in 2026, more than double what returned in 2025. Used EV prices have already dropped as much as 40% from their peak. Cars that originally sold for over $40,000 are now showing up in the low $20,000s.

Why off-lease is the sweet spot: These cars are 2 to 3 years old, low-mileage, and often still covered by some factory warranty. The first owner took the big depreciation hit for you. You get a nearly-new car without paying a nearly-new price.

Not every deal is a good deal — here’s what to look for

Some cars lose value slowly and stay reliable for years. Others drop fast and get expensive to fix. Toyotas and Hondas consistently land in the first group. The Tacoma barely loses any value at all over five years. The Civic and Corolla are almost impossible to lose money on. Off-lease EVs offer the biggest price cuts right now, but their values can keep sliding as even more inventory piles up through 2027, so do your homework before buying one.

5-Year Depreciation by Model (lower is better) Toyota Tacoma Honda Civic Toyota Corolla Toyota RAV4 Hybrid Avg. off-lease EV 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 26% 31% 33% 34% 40-50%
Vehicle Type Why it stands out 5-yr depreciation
Toyota Tacoma Truck Holds value better than almost anything else on the road ~26%
Honda Civic Sedan Cheap to insure, cheap to fix, runs forever ~31%
Toyota Corolla Sedan Ranked best overall used value by CarEdge ~33%
Toyota RAV4 Hybrid SUV High demand keeps resale strong, great on gas too ~34%
Honda CR-V SUV One of the best residual values in its class ~35%
Used EV (non-Tesla) Electric Biggest discounts available, but check battery health first ~40-50%

One thing to always do before you buy

Look for certified pre-owned (CPO) off-lease cars specifically. CPO means the manufacturer inspected it, backed it with an extended warranty, and verified the service history. Rental cars and fleet trucks are worth avoiding since they get driven hard by strangers who don’t care about them. And if you’re eyeing a used EV, always ask for a battery health report before you commit.

This kind of inventory surge doesn’t last. If you’ve been waiting for the right time to buy a nearly-new car at a real discount, 2026 is it.


Sources

  • EdmundsQ1 2026 Used Car Insights ReportRead the report
  • GreenCarsUsed EV Surge 2026Read the article
  • AutoblogWant a Cheap EV? The Used Market Is About to SurgeRead the article
  • CDK Global / CBT NewsDealers Brace for Influx of Off-Lease EVs in 2026Read the article
  • Nasdaq / CarEdge6 Used Cars Expected to Hold Their Value Best Through 2035Read the article
  • RealCarTipsBest New Car Incentives and Lease Deals for May 2026Read the article
  • MoneyGeekAverage New Car Price in 2026Read the article
  • CarPro ShowYour Extended Forecast: Flash Flooding of Used EVsRead the article

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